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Canada narrows the gap to 2030, but there's still a long way to go

by Mark Sabourin
EcoLog, 1/3/2020 12:11:00 PM

Canada is still projected to fall short of its 2030 greenhouse gas emissions target, but at least the gap is narrowing.

With 10 years of action to come, the latest projections from Environment and Climate Change Canada show that Canada still has to find 77 Mt of emission reductions between now and 2030 if it is to reach its target of 511Mt.

Canada’s 2030 emissions are now projected to hit 588 Mt, which are 227 Mt below what was projected in 2015. The 588-Mt projection takes into account all federal, provincial and territorial measures that were in place in September 2019, measures that have been announced but not yet fully implemented (such as the federal Clean Fuel Standard), and contributions from forestry and land-use activities, such as sustainable forest management and the conservation of natural areas.

Environment and Climate Change Canada says that opportunities to chip away at the 77-Mt gap by 2030 exist in an accelerated uptake of clean technologies, energy-saving retrofits in the residential sector, the full conversion of new light-duty vehicle sales to ZEVs (zero-emission vehicles) by 2030, and the electrification of all existing and new transit buses and trains.

“We’re committed to exceeding our 2030 Paris target and getting to net-zero emissions by 2050, as well as to putting our five-year targets into law,” Environment and Climate Change Minister Jonathan Wilkinson said in a statement, repeating the Liberals’ election promise to plant two billion trees, among other measures.

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